Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.067259 0.079772 0.093807 0.110694 0.130439 0.152771 0.179924
2025-03-30 0.047586 0.063516 0.083427 0.110044 0.144588 0.187792 0.245801
2025-04-06 0.035535 0.052108 0.074673 0.107434 0.153538 0.215821 0.306006
2025-04-13 0.027390 0.043492 0.067053 0.103702 0.158851 0.238230 0.360470
2025-04-20 0.023012 0.039140 0.064245 0.105661 0.171631 0.271785 0.434185
2025-04-27 0.019478 0.035260 0.061241 0.106428 0.182150 0.302687 0.507250
2025-05-04 0.016674 0.031973 0.058487 0.106889 0.191832 0.332969 0.582536
2025-05-11 0.014596 0.029526 0.056659 0.108447 0.203257 0.367067 0.667729
2025-05-18 0.013191 0.028038 0.056232 0.112294 0.218978 0.409983 0.772633
2025-05-25 0.011133 0.024877 0.052153 0.108661 0.220422 0.427716 0.834704
2025-06-01 0.009798 0.022936 0.050103 0.108562 0.228363 0.457895 0.922565
2025-06-08 0.008539 0.020920 0.047565 0.107048 0.233205 0.482582 1.002492
2025-06-15 0.007783 0.019922 0.047064 0.109825 0.247357 0.527385 1.127660
2025-06-22 0.006839 0.018307 0.044968 0.108859 0.253575 0.557161 1.226391
2025-06-29 0.005920 0.016570 0.042308 0.106207 0.255735 0.578753 1.310596
2025-07-06 0.005076 0.014850 0.039397 0.102500 0.254971 0.593945 1.382768
2025-07-13 0.004650 0.014160 0.038878 0.104435 0.267428 0.639167 1.525017
2025-07-20 0.004216 0.013358 0.037944 0.105192 0.277160 0.679325 1.660210
2025-07-27 0.003820 0.012583 0.036953 0.105648 0.286193 0.718821 1.798033
2025-08-03 0.003511 0.012008 0.036407 0.107189 0.298135 0.766379 1.959617
2025-08-10 0.003315 0.011743 0.036681 0.110994 0.316383 0.830963 2.168421
2025-08-17 0.002892 0.010657 0.034422 0.107401 0.314643 0.846418 2.259256
2025-08-24 0.002626 0.010038 0.033437 0.107303 0.322334 0.886264 2.414815